There is an indicator which has been around since 1957. It has accurately forecasted every inflationary and deflationary cycle since.

http://www.ino.com/info/373/CD3399/&dp=0&l=0&campaignid=3

This is my number one indicator for large cyclic trends. You may want to watch this index carefully should you want to invest in certain stocks and commodity related markets.

Over the last half-century, this index has seen some remarkable moves both on the upside and more recently on the downside. I believe that this is the indicator that everyone should watch. If you trade stocks or futures and are interested in world trade trends, this is the indicator to track.

The tenth revision of this index renamed it the Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index (NYBOT_CR) You can easily track this indicator everyday using MarketClub.

You can learn more about this index from our Trader’s Blog
Here is a list of the 19 markets that are included in the RJ/CRB index as implemented in the 2005 revision:

Metals: aluminum, copper, gold, nickel, silver
Energies: crude oil, heating oil, natural gas, unleaded gas
Grains: corn, soybeans, wheat
Food & Fiber: cocoa, coffee, cotton, orange juice, sugar
Livestock: lean hogs, live cattle

Take a few minutes to watch this short video and see how you can benefit from this indicator. There is no fee and there is no registration required.

http://www.ino.com/info/373/CD3399/&dp=0&l=0&campaignid=3

Enjoy the video in every success in the markets,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

A conundrum wrapped in an enigma… that’s the S&P 500 index.

I was just looking at the S&P 500 index as we come to a close for the week of June 6th. While the market appears to be higher for week, it also appears that we’re losing momentum on the upside.

This can be seen in the second attempt to close over the 950 level. Also some of our momentum indicators are showing negative divergences. This means that while the S&P 500 is making new highs for the move, the momentum indicators are not showing the same configuration and making new highs. This can often be the first clue of a potential market correction.

In this short video on the S&P 500, you’ll will see exactly what I’m looking at and why.

http://www.ino.com/info/372/CD3399/&dp=0&l=0&campaignid=3

The video is free to watch and there is no need to register. I would love to get your feedback about this video and your own predictions about these markets on our blog.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

In this week’s video we are revisiting Apple, Inc (NASDAQ_AAPL). I last looked at Apple on April 9th, when it was trading at considerably lower levels than where we are right now. At that time I made some projections using MarketClub’s Fibonacci tool, as to where I thought Apple was headed.

Obviously Apple has moved quite a bit and I want to revisit some of these key levels that I think may be a real challenge to this market in the very near term.

It’s a short video, but I’ll go into details about levels I think could affect this market.

http://www.ino.com/info/371/CD3399/&dp=0&l=0&campaignid=3

MarketClub’s “Trade Triangle” technology has been right on the money with Apple and continues to maintain a long position from $103.60.

The videos are always free to watch and there is no need to register. I would love to get your feedback about this video and your own predictions about these markets on our blog.

http://www.ino.com/info/371/CD3399/&dp=0&l=0&campaignid=3

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

I was quite amazed when I looked back to see how long it’s been since I’ve put together a Dollar Index (NYBOT_DX) video. I had to look back to September of 2008 to find the last series of videos I had done specifically for the Dollar Index, and it proved to be successful.

In today’s video we will look at the Dollar Index and the impact it is having on crude oil (NYMEX_CL) and other major markets. I’ll also make a rather surprising prediction as to the most likely trend the dollar is going to take in the next 12 months.

This is a video you will not want to miss as the ramifications of inflation and the dollar are rather shocking.

I will show you how MarketClub has used the same approach in the same market using our “Trade Triangle” technology to trade this index and just how successfully this approach has been.

http://www.ino.com/info/196/CD3399/club.ino.com%252Ftrading%252F2009%252F4%252Fsee-how-we-did-trading-corn-wheat-soybeans-crude-oil-gold-and-the-dollar-index-for-q1-of-this-year%252F

I strongly recommend that you watch my earlier Dollar Index video and then watch the new one. This will give you more confidence in using our “Trade Triangle” approach.

http://www.ino.com/info/370/CD3399/&dp=0&l=0&campaignid=3

As always, the videos are free to watch and there is no need to register. I would love to get your feedback about this video and your own predictions about these markets on our blog.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 3.0 per cent.

Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor Monetary Policy RBA

Evidence has continued to emerge that the global economy is stabilising, after a sharp contraction during the December and March quarters. The considerable economic policy stimulus in train in most countries is helping to contain the downturn, and should support an eventual recovery. The turnaround is clearest in China and some other emerging countries. Recovery in the major countries is likely to take longer to begin and be slower when it does occur.

Prospects are being helped by better conditions in global financial markets. Confidence, while improving, nonetheless remains fragile and balance sheets are under pressure from the effects of economic weakness on asset quality. Credit remains tight. Continued progress in restoring balance sheets is essential for a durable recovery.

The Australian economy has been contracting. Capacity utilisation has fallen back to about average levels, and will decline further over the rest of the year. With demand for labour weakening, growth in labour costs is beginning to fall. These conditions are likely to see inflation continue to abate over the next two years.

A pick-up in housing credit demand suggests stronger dwelling activity is likely later in the year. Business borrowing, on the other hand, is declining, as companies postpone investment plans and seek to reduce leverage, in an environment of tighter lending standards.

Monetary policy has been eased significantly. Market and mortgage rates are at very low levels by historical standards. Business loan rates are below average. Much of the effect of this is yet to be observed. Fiscal measures are also providing considerable support for demand.

Nonetheless, the prospect of inflation declining over the medium term suggests that scope remains for some further easing of monetary policy, if needed. In assessing how it might use that scope, the Board will continue to monitor how economic and financial conditions unfold, and how they impinge on prospects for a sustainable recovery in economic activity.